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The Prospects For Aseptic Processing Of Beverages In Plastic In The U.S.

Table of Contents

  Page
About the Authors

A7

Executive Summary
 
Introduction
1
Bottle Self-Manufacturing Costs and Purchase Prices
2
Filling Line Economics
2
Innovations and Developments
3
Summary and Conclusions
3

Introduction to the Study


5
Section I.
Cold Fill and Hot Fill PET Bottle Manufacturing Cost Comparison

 

Introduction
 
A. Purchased PET Bottle Costs
11
B. Bottle Manufacturing Cost Modeling Methodology
12
C. Bottle Filling Scenarios
14
D. Bottle Weight Assumptions
15

Preform Manufacturing Cost Estimates
 
A. Preform Manufacturing Parameters
17
B. Preform Injection Molding System Capital Investment
18
C. Preform Manufacturing Cost Detail
19

Bottle Manufacturing Cost Estimates
 
A. Bottle Blow Molding Parameters
21
B. Blow Molding Line Capital Investment
27
C. Bottle Blow Molding Cost Detail
28
D. Total PET Bottle Manufacturing Costs
28

Section II.
Polypropylene Co-Extrusion Blow Molded Bottle Manufacturing Costs

 
A. Introduction
29
B. Co-Extrusion Blow Molded Bottle Manufacturing Line
29
C. Bottle Blow Molding Mode
30
D. Bottle Types
30
E. Co-Extrusion Blow Molded Bottle Manufacturing Cost Models
31
F. Parameters and Assumptions
36
G. Manufacturing Cost Detail
37
H. Purchased Bottle Prices
37

Section III.
Filling Line Economics

 
A. Introduction
39
B. Various Processing/Filling Technologies Used
40
1. Hot Fill
40
2. High Acid Aseptic
40
3. Low Acid Aseptic
41
4. Extended Shelf Life (ESL)
41
5. Retort
42
C. Filling Line Scenarios
42
D. Filling Line Manufacturing Cost Model
43
Cost Model Detailed Content
48
General Comments on Cost Models
49
E. Key Input and Output Variables
49
F. Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios and Applicable
52
Cost Models
52
G. Summary Five Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios’ Costs
62

Section IV.
Innovations and Developments

 
A. Introduction
63
B. Hot Fill
63
1. Heat Setting Technology
63
2. Reduced Bottle Weights
64
3. Other Factors
65
4. Conclusion
65
C. Chemical Sterilization Systems
65
D. Non-Chemical Sterilization Systems
67
E. Sustainability
67
F. Nestle USA, Inc.’s Anderson Facility
70

Section V.
Summary and Conclusions

 
A. Filling Line Economics
73
B. Payback Analysis
73
Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios
74
1. High Acid Aseptic
75
2. Low Acid Aseptic
77
Secondary Conversion Scenarios
78
C. Non-Economic Issues
81
1. Sustainability
81
2. The Predis Concept
81

APPENDIX 1:
 
Cost of Refrigerated Distribution
82

APPENDIX 2:
 
Polypropylene (PP) Bottle Manufacturing Cost
 
Models for PP bottles used in Primary Potential
 
Conversion Scenarios 3 and 4, Projected side
88

APPENDIX 3:
 
Filling Line Manufacturing Cost Models for the
 
Five Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios
92

List of Tables

  Page
Table 1:
Conversion Scenarios

1
Table 2:
Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios

6
Table 3:
Secondary Conversion Scenarios

8
Table 4:
Purchased Bottle Pricing, Dollars Per Thousand Bottles

12
Table 5:
Bottle Blow Molding/Filling Scenarios

15
Table 6:
General Preform Manufacturing Parameters and Assumptions

17
Table 7:
Specific Preform Manufacturing Parameters and Assumptions

18
Table 8:
Capital Cost Estimates for Preform Injection Molding Lines

19
Table 9:
Preform Manufacturing Cost Detail, Dollars Per Thousand Units

20
Table 10:
Blow Molder Cavitation and Output Capability For The Modeled Filling Scenarios

23
Table 11:
General Bottle Manufacturing Parameters and Assumptions For All Blow Molding Cases

24
Table 12:
Bottle Manufacturing Parameters and Assumptions For Direct Blow Fill Bottle Blowing Conveyed Directly Into the Filler

25
Table 13:
Manufacturing Parameters and Assumptions for Decoupled Bottle Manufacture

26
Table 14:
Investment Estimates For Bottle Blow Molding Lines

27
Table 15:
Bottle Blow Molding Cost Detail, Dollars Per Thousand Units

28
Table 16:
Summary Of Bottle & Preform In-House Production Costs, Dollars Per Thousand Units

28
Table 17:
Polypropylene Co-EBM Bottle Types

30
Table 18:
Key Cost Components and Commentary

35
Table 19:
Parameters and Assumptions Used in Models

36
Table 20:
Polypropylene Co-EBM Bottle Manufacturing Cost Detail

37
Table 21:
Purchased Bottle Prices Dollars Per Thousand Units

38
Table 22:
Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios

39
Table 23:
Ten Filling Line Scenarios

43
Table 24:
Cost Model Sections and Commentary

47
Table 25:
Cost Model Components and Detailed Description

48
Table 26:
Key Input and Output Variables Cost Models for Ten Filling Line Scenarios

50
Table 27:
Primary Potential Conversion Scenario 1

55
Table 28:
Primary Potential Conversion Scenario 2

57
Table 29:
Primary Potential Conversion Scenario 3

59
Table 30:
Primary Potential Conversion Scenario 4

60
Table 31:
Primary Potential Conversion Scenario 5

61
Table 32:
Summary of Data for Five Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios Dollars Per Thousand

62
Table 33:
Payback Analyses for Primary Potential Conversion Scenarios

74
Table 34:
Payback Analyses for Secondary Conversion Scenarios

79
Table 35:
Refrigerated Warehousing Incremental Cost Detail

84
Table 36:
Refrigerated Transport Incremental Cost Detail

86
Table 37:
Refrigerated Distribution Incremental Cost Summary

87
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